01/02/2018





Below are the price and demand graphs for the day, the demand curve and model results. The model can be found below the graphs. Note that the model choice is not frequently subject to change and can be found in a future methodology note.


Why is it sloping up?













































Change in Demand as Dependent                                                           
                                                Coefficient           Std Error            p value
Constant 14.22640 84.45910 0.86704
(Change in Demand)t-1 1.20330 0.14870 0.00000
(Change in Demand)t-2 -0.43990 0.14470 0.00405
(Change in Price) 52.52200 26.61230 0.05503
(Change in Price)t-1 -60.08950 27.22950 0.03285
(Change in Price)t-2               53.28550              28.01350            0.06403
Adjusted R-squared:  0.7921                                                         

            








Change in Price as Dependent                                                                 
                                                          Coefficient                 Std Error                  p value
Constant -0.14110 0.46810 0.76500
(Change in Price)t-1 0.12410 0.15840 0.43800
(Change in Price)t-2 -0.19500 0.15910 0.22700
(Change in Demand) 0.00162 0.00082 0.05500
(Change in Demand)t-1 -0.00020 0.00132 0.88000
(Change in Demand)t-2          0.00006                0.00089              0.94800
 Adjusted R-squared:  0.2134                                                                                 













Note that "t-1" and "t-2" are 1- and 2-period lags.


















































































































































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